UP election: Adityanath vs Akhilesh .. Which party has the highest chance of victory? ABP C Voter Survey!
Lucknow: The BJP has a 45.3 per cent chance of winning the Uttar Pradesh assembly polls, according to a poll conducted by APP Channel-C Voter. Uttar Pradesh is scheduled to hold assembly elections next year.
The biggest four-cornered contest is expected to be held there between BJP, Samajwadi Party, Bahujan Samadhi and Congress. Aam Aadmi Party, Rashtriya Lok Dal and Trinamool Congress are also expected to be key game changers.
It is in this context that the APP Channel-C Voter is conducting a poll on the Uttar Pradesh elections and who is most likely to win there.
poll
Asked whether the new government should be in Uttar Pradesh, 48.3 per cent said they were angry with the Adityanath government and demanded a change of government. 27.5 percent are angry at the regime. But they say change is not needed.
Adityanath Government
24.2 percent are not angry with the regime. Thus there is no need for regime change. This is seen as a bit of a negative signal for the BJP as nearly 50 per cent of the people are angry with the regime and want regime change.
Chance of success
But when asked how any party is more likely to win against this, people say the BJP is more likely to win.
Accordingly, the BJP alliance has a 45.3 percent chance of victory. The Samajwadi Party has a 29.8 percent chance of winning. People have said that the Bahujan Samaj Party has an 8.1 per cent chance of victory.
Congress
The Congress party has 8 percent support. 3.3 percent predict other parties and 2.7 percent predict a hung assembly. When asked what would be the most important issue in the assembly elections, 26.9 percent said the agrarian struggle would have the most impact. 16.1 per cent said caste and religious issues would have an impact.
Corona
People said that failure to control the corona would cause 15.2 percent harm and failure to eradicate rowdies would cause 13.5 percent damage. 6.1 per cent said Prime Minister Modi’s image would make a big difference in the election. People have said that the state government’s economic situation will contribute 3.3 percent to the election.
Will 100 seats fall?
Polls on how this electoral arena will generally retain BJP rule; But they say less will be available than in 2017. APP News-Svotter published the poll on November 12. In it, it was reported that the BJP would get 100 seats less than it won in 2017 in next year’s assembly elections. That means the BJP, which won 312 seats in 2017, is projected to get 213 to 221 seats in the 2024 elections. UP with 403 seats. The majority needed in the assembly is 202. The same opinion is that the Samajwadi Party will get 152-160 seats. The Samajwadi Party is projected to win 47 more seats compared to the last 2017 election. But the Bahujan Samaj Party was projected to get only 16 to 20 seats. In 2017, the BJP had won 19 constituencies.
