The third covid wave is likely to hit India in August month and this may reach to peak in October, as per the study.
A research team lead by professors Manindra Agrawal and Mathukumalli Vidyasagar at the IIT (Indian Institute of Technology) in Kanpur and Hyderabad respectively said that the rise in the number of coronavirus cases will push the third wave of Covid-19.
Vidyasagar told Bloomberg in an email, States having high caseloads like Kerala and Maharastra, could “skew the picture.”
Last month, a scientist of a government panel tasked with the modelling of covid-19 cases, Agrawal, had said that the third covid wave possibly may see half of the daily cases recorded during the second surge and it can reach its peak in between October and November if covid-appropriate behaviour is not followed.
On 7th May, India has recorded 4,14,188 coronavirus cases. This is the highest daily count during the second wave.
Recently, the Centre said that ten states are either reporting an upsurge in the TPR (Test Positivity Rate) or a rise in new daily covid cases. It suggested strict restrictions in districts with more than a 10 per cent positivity rate, to prevent crowds.
The ten states are – Kerala, Maharastra, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Odisha, Assam, Meghalaya, Mizoram, Andhra Pradesh and Manipur.